Modelling the cost of pre-analytical test errors

2 November 2009

Wokingham | BD, in partnership with Frost & Sullivan

Healthcare institutions are busy places. A 400-bed hospital can see hundreds of thousands of patients a year. Millions of blood tests will be taken, analysed and the results sent back for diagnosis and medical intervention. The chance of error is small, often only 2 in every 1,000 tests, but the consequences can be enormous. And, with so many tests being processed, even a small chance of error means that thousands take place in every hospital, every year.

Modelling the cost of pre-analytical test errors

In 2008, Whythawk began a long-term relationship with BD Healthcare developing an analytical and econometric approach assessing the cost of sample rejection and recollection in hospitals around the world.

Our solution

Critical data (such as number of beds, overall budget, number of patients of different types seen each year, number of sample rejections, probable impact of sample rejection) were collected by interviewing institution staff from seven different country institutions.

The objective was to deliver a simple tool that would work with software familiar to BD staff, and that was Microsoft Excel. We developed an Excel model to manage all collected data and make predictive outputs.

The data was then entered into this model to calculate the possible financial impact of the sample rejections. The model included elements that separated patients into different groups according to the likely effects of having a sample rejected, the probability that the rejection would have a low, medium or high impact and what consequences on institution time and resources each of these would have. The overall consequence was expressed either as lost patient treatment time or a financial cost.

The size of the institutions ranged from 326 to 1,200 beds, with total operating costs varying between €41 million and €1.1 billion. The number of blood tests per month was between 40,000 and 290,000 and of these between 0.02% and 2% were rejected (mean 0.85%). The total cost of specimen rejection ranged from €22k to €5.9 million per annum (mean €1.9 million), equating to a percentage of total operating costs from 0.1% to 1.2% (mean 0.3%). The estimated cost per patient for a sample rejection was from €135 to €349 (mean €224)

Outcomes

The nature of the model allows institutions to enter their own data and assumptions about the effect of sample rejection on patient treatment and cost. The results can then be compared to the results from other institutions to benchmark performance and assumptions. From the results, it is clear that a reduction in the number of rejected samples could lead to significant cost savings for most institutions.

These results were presented as a paper at the ISPOR 15th Annual European Congress (November 2012).

Photo by Testalize.me on Unsplash

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