MHCLG COVID lockdown economic impact

19 December 2020

London, Westminster | Ministry of Housing, Communities & Local Government

Spatial econometric data are critical for analysis of the impact of COVID-19 on business distribution and investment, and for support for post-pandemic reconstruction. Millions of people are working from home for the first time. Workplaces are, according to Google Mobility Trends, seeing 54% fewer people. The UK government was grappling with both the need for quarantine, and with the economic impact of that quarantine. They needed spatial economic insight.

MHCLG COVID lockdown economic impact

Our solution

There was no deeper plan other than responding to a highly volatile and dynamic pandemic, with new information emerging on infection rates and impact on healthcare infrastructure and professionals. Whythawk’s roll was to provide evidence-support for the UK government as they attempted to get ahead of the economic impact.

We worked throughout the first year of the pandemic, often overnight to ensure decision-makers had data and analysis they required first thing in the morning.

The main queries we responded to included the classification of businesses (floor area, staff numbers, location, industry) that were to be included in quarantines, and to assess the impact on businesses and local economies left out of that net. The challenge was the paucity of data from non-publishing authorities. Some of the most effected councils - like Westminster and City of London - had no data available to us, and so no insight into how businesses would be effected, or which areas were already suffering economic fragility.

Here’s a talk Gavin Chait gave at a Fture of Money Event: Homeworking: Is The City Centre Dead?

Outcomes

We delivered information where it was needed.

www.vperemen.com, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

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